Norrskensprognos

01 — Northern lights in Jokkmokk tonight

Northern lights in Jokkmokk tonight: Not tonight

Almost complete cloud cover expected — it hides everything. Space weather and darkness are more than enough; the clouds decide.

dark 18:05–06:15Kp 3.3 expected · 1 neededclear sky 5%98% moon

calculated 09:13 Swedish time · Kp NOAA SWPC 3-day forecast · cloud SMHI · darkness from the sun's altitude

Space weather right now

More in Swedish →

Kp now

–

 

Bz

–

nT

Solar wind

–

km/s

Fetching NOAA's latest readings …

02 — When tonight

No good hour tonight

chance per hournot dark yet
Show as table
HourChanceKpDark?
17:00Not tonight 0%0.7no
18:00Not tonight 1%0.9no
19:00Not tonight 3%1.1yes
20:00Not tonight 4%1.3yes
21:00Not tonight 4%1.3yes
22:00Not tonight 4%1.3yes
23:00Not tonight 4%1.3yes
00:00Not tonight 5%1.9yes
01:00Not tonight 5%2.4yes
02:00Not tonight 5%3yes
02:00Not tonight 5%3.1yes
03:00Not tonight 5%3.2yes
04:00Not tonight 5%3.3yes
05:00Not tonight 5%3.4yes
06:00Not tonight 3%3.6yes

No hour tonight gets there in Jokkmokk — it's either too light or too quiet on the Sun.

Kp per hour (second row) between NOAA's 3-hour values · cloud averaged over the night

03 — Why

All three have to line up

How we calculate

Space weather

100%

Jokkmokk needs about Kp 1. Tonight: Kp 3.3 expected.

NOAA SWPC · 3-day forecast
Jokkmokk magnetically ~64.5° N

Darkness

100%

Dark 18:05–06:15. Waxing gibbous, 98% lit and up tonight — faint aurora drowns easily.

the sun's altitude, hour by hour
moon 98% lit

Clear sky

Decides tonight

5%

Almost complete cloud cover in SMHI's forecast for the night.

SMHI, the Swedish weather service
nearest grid cell · night average

04 — Coming to Jokkmokk

Planning a trip?

all times are Swedish time · CEST until 25 Oct

The season

Late August to mid-April

dark hours in Jokkmokk, month by month

Darkest November to January. Outside the season the aurora is still there — the nights are just too light to see it.

Nights to watch

coarse outlook

31 Oct–1 Nov Kp 5

25 Oct3114

Jokkmokk needs only about Kp 1, so any dark, clear night can work.

NOAA SWPC 27-day outlook, issued 19 Oct. It follows the Sun's 27-day rotation and can't see eruptions coming.

If you go out

Dress for −20 °C even if it says −10

  • You'll stand still for a long time. Wool closest to the skin, then layers, then something windproof.

  • Look north, away from the lights. A frozen lake or an open fell is perfect.

  • Give your eyes twenty minutes. To the eye the aurora is often paler than in photos — it grows as you adjust.

06 — Tell me when it happens

Get an alert

Free, at most one of each a night, and you can stop whenever you like.

In the evening at 19:00 — when the forecast looks good

from the forecast

When it lights up — when NOAA measures enough

measured Kp, only when it's dark here

Alerts are set up on the Swedish page for Jokkmokk, and they arrive in Swedish. The button there says “Bevaka Jokkmokk” — that's “watch Jokkmokk”.

On iPhone: add the site to your Home Screen first (Share → Add to Home Screen), then open it from there.